The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season produced 17 tropical storms, about the historical average.
Buckle in, South Carolina, researchers say the East Coast should prepare for an above-average hurricane season. Of course, predicting how terrible a hurricane season can be with 100 percent certainty is impossible, and these reports do change over time, but that doesn't mean Florida shouldn't be prepared for the worst.
With this year's hurricane season less than 60 days away, the first credible forecast is out. Major hurricanes are expected to be active for a week in total.
Last years season was a top 10 hurricane season by almost every metric, Klotzbach said.
The latest forecast for the 2018 hurricane season was released Thursday, and numbers show slightly higher than average activity is expected.
This forecast is based on statistical predictions developed using 29 years of past data.
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"It's important to remember the number of storms and impacts don't really correlate", said Marthers.
"The current weak La Niña event appears likely to transition to neutral ENSO over the next several months, but at this point, we do not anticipate a significant El Niño this summer/fall".
While hurricanes thrive on hot ocean water, the eastern Atlantic is cool, and the western part of the basin is warm. 2017 also brought two major hurricane landfalls to the United States, with Harvey hitting Texas, and Irma striking here in SWFL.
The probability for a hurricane tracking into the Caribbean is put at 52%, above the 42% long-term average.
However, during last spring/summer, the waters warmed much faster than normal across most of the Atlantic, and by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, the sea surface temperatures were much warmer than normal across most of the tropical Atlantic, providing increased fuel for the hurricanes that formed past year.
Last years Atlantic storm season was among the strongest seasons on record.